Once again… a time to reflect and not necessarily to act ...

Almost 2 years ago to the day the global financial markets crashed badly, as fears of the COVID brought uncertainty and fear. Nobody knew exactly what was going to happen or how long it was going to be before relative normality would resume. Well, it feels like it was just starting to get to that point and then Mr. Putin decides to invade Ukraine.

The following graphs show a prominent Global Equity (Stocks and Shares) fund during two particularly volatile event periods:

Global Financial Crisis 2007

COVID 2020

I would potentially expect a similar reaction in the markets now and indeed we are already seeing it as I type this (the day Russia invaded Ukraine). While the circumstances have changed, the same concerns apply, how bad is it going to get? How long might it last?

I wouldn’t care to predict anything at this time, nor would I cling to a mantra that “past performance would indicate a rebound”. That said, the reality is that past performance has usually shown this to be the case.

Leaving money on deposit is not exactly a perfect solution either as inflation looks to be climbing dramatically in some cases (energy prices). So, while your €100 may remain €100 in your bank account, its spending power could diminish.

In the past, the best course of action has been to “take no action” when it comes to investments when you see how the markets usually recover. This is not to say that this strategy suits all investors/clients. In some cases, it is important to take stock of what you have now and to take corrective actions to preserve your savings/pensions even when the value has fallen.

Clever Investing

Let’s say you have a lump sum sitting in your bank account that you would like to invest, with the hopes of making a profit…what should a first-time investor consider when deciding on if and where to invest it?

How much risk are you comfortable with?

If you are ready to invest, consider how much risk you’re willing to accept. With all types of investments there will be some degree of risk, but some have more than others.

• Would you be more likely to choose high risk for potential high return investments, or an investment with the lowest potential loss?

•   Are you cautious or carefree when it comes to making financial decisions?

•   Are you quick to react to media or market changes?

Some tips to help with your investment decisions;

¬  Invest with a regulated company: A company regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland must always act in the best interests of consumers and comply with strict rules that help protect consumers. Your financial advisor will also be able to guide you in choosing a company and with assessing your needs.

¬  Diversification: Spread your risk across several types of asset classes and sectors to avoid putting all of your eggs in one basket.

¬  Consider volatility: Certain assets are more volatile than others. If you only invest in a single asset type (such as individual shares) you are more exposed to changes in market value for that asset type. This can demand a lot of your time to monitor the market and use your judgement as to when to sell.

¬  Choose a managed fund: You’ll have an expert investment manager at the lead who is knowledgeable about what assets across which sectors to mix, and who is actively monitoring performance and responding to market movements and opportunities.

What does return on investment mean?

A return on your investment is the potential amount you could gain or lose. A return can be positive where you gain money over the amount you have invested. Or a return can be negative where you lose money you invested. It’s important to know that unless there is a capital protection guaranteed, most investments are not protected, and you could lose some or all of the money you invested. No one can predict what is going to happen with the market. However, it is a good idea to leave the money you’ve invested alone for a while and a recommended duration of at least 5 years can give your investment a suitable time to perform.

A time to reflect and not necessarily to act . . .

As a quick reminder, I would always recommend you speak with your professional financial adviser before making any changes/decisions with regards to the products/services I discuss in these columns. Each person’s individual circumstances warrant specific advice that may make their decision different from what others have done. I never advocate trying to time investments, more to work off your personal circumstances and the time that you have to invest.

The last month has seen quite a change for us all, with the threat of a virus forcing us to change our behaviours and we have had to give up some freedoms many of us probably took for granted. So, in this new world, with so much uncertainty facing us possibly over months or years, what is the best action to take with investments and/or life assurance policies?

I have to say that I have not received anywhere near as many calls from clients as I had expected over the last few weeks. I really hope it’s as a result of educating my clients in the past on the ups and downs of investments and the importance of not letting our emotions/feelings affect our decision.

I would be reiterating this more than ever to clients, particularly ones who do not need to make any decisions on their investments. The investment markets go up and they go down, people are confident when they go up and are more risk averse when they go down. To me, this is no different and to make a financial decision now without any professional advice may be a bad decision.

Some investors may think that now is the perfect time to invest, as you are getting more for your money. If you had intended on investing 2 months ago but held off, in some cases you may be investing today at up to a 30% discount on the cost to buy a month ago. A simple comparison would be if you were going to buy a car in January but held off for various reasons. Now, if you still intended on buying the car but could get it for 30% less, it would appear to be a good idea to buy it, even if things were still up in the air.

In terms of Life Assurance, Mortgage Protection, Serious Illness cover or Income Protection, your normal conditions on these plans should apply. In the case of these policies, once you have disclosed all information possible at the beginning of the policy, events that change after the policy has started do not usually alter the conditions allowable to make a claim. If you are unsure or concerned, my recommendation is to contact your broker or the company who provided the policy. Many companies are still offering customer service support at this time.