Once again… a time to reflect and not necessarily to act ...

Almost 2 years ago to the day the global financial markets crashed badly, as fears of the COVID brought uncertainty and fear. Nobody knew exactly what was going to happen or how long it was going to be before relative normality would resume. Well, it feels like it was just starting to get to that point and then Mr. Putin decides to invade Ukraine.

The following graphs show a prominent Global Equity (Stocks and Shares) fund during two particularly volatile event periods:

Global Financial Crisis 2007

COVID 2020

I would potentially expect a similar reaction in the markets now and indeed we are already seeing it as I type this (the day Russia invaded Ukraine). While the circumstances have changed, the same concerns apply, how bad is it going to get? How long might it last?

I wouldn’t care to predict anything at this time, nor would I cling to a mantra that “past performance would indicate a rebound”. That said, the reality is that past performance has usually shown this to be the case.

Leaving money on deposit is not exactly a perfect solution either as inflation looks to be climbing dramatically in some cases (energy prices). So, while your €100 may remain €100 in your bank account, its spending power could diminish.

In the past, the best course of action has been to “take no action” when it comes to investments when you see how the markets usually recover. This is not to say that this strategy suits all investors/clients. In some cases, it is important to take stock of what you have now and to take corrective actions to preserve your savings/pensions even when the value has fallen.